Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

GBD 2021 Fertility and Forecasting Collaborators

doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00550-6

Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

GBD 2021 Fertility and Forecasting Collaborators

Ateneo School of Medicine and Public Health

Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, School of Medicine
Department of Clinical Governance and Quality Improvement
Aleta Wondo Hospital
University of California Los Angeles
Harvard Medical School
Department of Orthopaedic Surgery
Non-Communicable Diseases Research Center
Advanced Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology Research Center
Department of Epidemiology
Alexandria University
Tropical Medicine Department
Tanta University
The Institute of Pharmaceutical Sciences (TIPS)
School of Pharmacy
Department of Small Animal Clinical Sciences
University of Saskatchewan
Department of Medicine
University Ferhat Abbas of Setif
Department of Physiotherapy
Bayero University
Department of Rehabilitation Sciences
Hong Kong Polytechnic University
Department of Midwifery
Dilla University
Department of Public Health
Haramaya University
Department of Community Medicine
Babcock University
Research Center for Immunodeficiencies
Department of Medical Biochemistry and Biophysics
Karolinska Institutet
Department of Neurosurgery
Khatam Al-anbia Hospital
Shefa Neuroscience Research Center
Department of Physical Pharmacy and Pharmacokinetics
Poznan University of Medical Sciences
Department of Public Health
Madda Walabu University
Department of Nutrition and Dietetics
Jimma University
Department of Pediatric Dentistry
Federal University of Minas Gerais
Department of Adult Health Nursing
Aksum University
Research Department
Philippine Institute for Development Studies
Department of Anesthesiology
Department of Nursing
Al Zaytoonah University of Jordan
Department of Pharmacology and Toxicology
Usmanu Danfodiyo University
Nigerian Institute of Medical Research
Clinical Sciences Department
Institute of Community and Public Health
Birzeit University
Department of Public Health
Wolkite University
Bahir Dar University
Department of Health Promotion
University of South Carolina
Public Health Department
University of KwaZulu-Natal
Department of Medical Rehabilitation
Obafemi Awolowo University
The University of Texas Medical Branch at Galveston
Khalifa University of Science and Technology
Institute of Public Health
Walden University
Jhpiego Corporation
Department of Adolescent Research and Care
Adolescent Friendly Research Initiative and Care
Stellenbosch University
Division of Epidemiology & Biostatistics
Department of Biochemistry
Osun State University
Department of Community Health and Epidemiology
Department of Public Health
Federal Ministry of Health
Department of Physiology
University of Medical Sciences
Faculty of Medicine
Universitas Padjadjaran
Department of Epidemiology and Medical Statistics
University of Ibadan
Department of Radiology
Department of Life Sciences
University of Management and Technology Lahore
Department of Community Medicine
King Edward Memorial Hospital
Department of Public Health
Public Health Institute
Department of Biotechnology
University of Catania
Department of Geography and Planning
Queen's University

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	2057-2099
Number of pages	43
Journal	The Lancet
Volume	403
Issue number	10440
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00550-6
State	Published - May 18 2024

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

SDG 5 Gender Equality
SDG 10 Reduced Inequalities

ASJC Scopus Subject Areas

General Medicine

Access to Document

10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00550-6

Cite this

@article{a3d2c663d6ed43eeaa4a23b29e42d0fd,

title = "Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950{\textendash}2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021",

author = "\{GBD 2021 Fertility and Forecasting Collaborators\} and Bhattacharjee, \{Natalia V.\} and Schumacher, \{Austin E.\} and Amirali Aali and Abate, \{Yohannes Habtegiorgis\} and Rouzbeh Abbasgholizadeh and Mohammadreza Abbasian and Mohsen Abbasi-Kangevari and Hedayat Abbastabar and ElHafeez, \{Samar Abd\} and Sherief Abd-Elsalam and Mohammad Abdollahi and Abdollahifar, \{Mohammad Amin\} and Meriem Abdoun and Auwal Abdullahi and Mesfin Abebe and Abebe, \{Samrawit Shawel\} and Olumide Abiodun and Hassan Abolhassani and Meysam Abolmaali and Mohamed Abouzid and Aboye, \{Girma Beressa\} and Abreu, \{Lucas Guimar{\~a}es\} and Abrha, \{Woldu Aberhe\} and Abrigo, \{Michael R.M.\} and Dariush Abtahi and Hasan Abualruz and Bilyaminu Abubakar and Eman Abu-Gharbieh and Abu-Rmeileh, \{Niveen M.E.\} and Adal, \{Tadele Girum Girum\} and Adane, \{Mesafint Molla\} and Adeagbo, \{Oluwafemi Atanda Adeagbo\} and Adedoyin, \{Rufus Adesoji\} and Victor Adekanmbi and Bashir Aden and Adepoju, \{Abiola Victor\} and Adetokunboh, \{Olatunji O.\} and Adetunji, \{Juliana Bunmi\} and Adeyinka, \{Daniel Adedayo\} and Adeyomoye, \{Olorunsola Israel\} and Adnani, \{Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah\} and Saryia Adra and Afolabi, \{Rotimi Felix\} and Shadi Afyouni and Afzal, \{Muhammad Sohail\} and Saira Afzal and Shahin Aghamiri and Antonella Agodi and Williams Agyemang-Duah and Pepito, \{Veincent Christian Filipino\}",

note = "Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license",

year = "2024",

month = may,

day = "18",

doi = "10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00550-6",

language = "English",

volume = "403",

pages = "2057--2099",

journal = "The Lancet",

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T1 - Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100

T2 - a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

AU - GBD 2021 Fertility and Forecasting Collaborators

AU - Bhattacharjee, Natalia V.

AU - Schumacher, Austin E.

AU - Aali, Amirali

AU - Abate, Yohannes Habtegiorgis

AU - Abbasgholizadeh, Rouzbeh

AU - Abbasian, Mohammadreza

AU - Abbasi-Kangevari, Mohsen

AU - Abbastabar, Hedayat

AU - ElHafeez, Samar Abd

AU - Abd-Elsalam, Sherief

AU - Abdollahi, Mohammad

AU - Abdollahifar, Mohammad Amin

AU - Abdoun, Meriem

AU - Abdullahi, Auwal

AU - Abebe, Mesfin

AU - Abebe, Samrawit Shawel

AU - Abiodun, Olumide

AU - Abolhassani, Hassan

AU - Abolmaali, Meysam

AU - Abouzid, Mohamed

AU - Aboye, Girma Beressa

AU - Abreu, Lucas Guimarães

AU - Abrha, Woldu Aberhe

AU - Abrigo, Michael R.M.

AU - Abtahi, Dariush

AU - Abualruz, Hasan

AU - Abubakar, Bilyaminu

AU - Abu-Gharbieh, Eman

AU - Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M.E.

AU - Adal, Tadele Girum Girum

AU - Adane, Mesafint Molla

AU - Adeagbo, Oluwafemi Atanda Adeagbo

AU - Adedoyin, Rufus Adesoji

AU - Adekanmbi, Victor

AU - Aden, Bashir

AU - Adepoju, Abiola Victor

AU - Adetokunboh, Olatunji O.

AU - Adetunji, Juliana Bunmi

AU - Adeyinka, Daniel Adedayo

AU - Adeyomoye, Olorunsola Israel

AU - Adnani, Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah

AU - Adra, Saryia

AU - Afolabi, Rotimi Felix

AU - Afyouni, Shadi

AU - Afzal, Muhammad Sohail

AU - Afzal, Saira

AU - Aghamiri, Shahin

AU - Agodi, Antonella

AU - Agyemang-Duah, Williams

AU - Pepito, Veincent Christian Filipino

PY - 2024/5/18

Y1 - 2024/5/18

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85188450830

UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/85188450830#tab=citedBy

U2 - 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00550-6

DO - 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00550-6

M3 - Article

C2 - 38521087

AN - SCOPUS:85188450830

SN - 0140-6736

VL - 403

SP - 2057

EP - 2099

JO - The Lancet

JF - The Lancet

IS - 10440

ER -

Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

UN SDGs

ASJC Scopus Subject Areas

Access to Document

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Cite this